Early Bird – 19th June

What a day we had with 14/1 (Won at 20/1) and 16/1 (Won at 8/1) winners from three selections. We narrowly missed out on an incredible treble as our third selection was well backed from the 7/2 advised but bumped into a very good horse, finishing 2nd. Hopefully we can carry that form into Friday, though the races on offer are really not up my street from a betting perspective.

Tips

2:45 Tipperary – Aqueliga – 0.5pt e/w @ 25/1 Ladbrokes, Unibet, Coral, Betfred & Boylesport 1/5th odds 4 places

3:35 Ascot – Golden Horde 1.5pt win @ 5/1 widely available

Analysis

2:45 Tipperary – Aqueliga – 0.5pt e/w @ 25/1 Ladbrokes, Unibet, Coral, Betfred & Boylesport 1/5th odds 4 places

A little go on this horse who caught the eye and went in the notebook on debut back in May last year. Followed up with another promising run, not getting the best of passages. Left the yard to join Susan Finn where she ran just the once, in a Dundalk maiden. Again was keen early, didn’t seem to handle the bend that well and was hampered in the straight before easing off when beat. That was a decent maiden with the first two home rated 85 and 91 at the time. Since moved yards again and is making her handicap debut. Her mark of 74 is fair, though was hoping for a bit more leniency. However, she is very well bred out of Slade Power with the dam out of Exceed And Excel so sprinting is her game. She looks the type who will benefit with more time and enjoy a big field handicap conditions where she can get plenty of cover. I”m not getting carried away with the bet hence the 0.5pt e/w but she has potential and first time up in a handicap may be the time to catch her. It wouldn’t surprise me if the money was to come for her.

3:35 Ascot – Golden Horde 1.5pt win @ 5/1 widely available

Personally I feel this is the horse the others have to beat, assuming it has trained on. There are doubts about the ground for Lope Y Fernandez, who in 6 starts has yet to race on anything softer than good to yielding. Meanwhile Pierre Lapin looks exciting after just two starts for the in form Varian yard, though again both runs were on good to firm so ground is a concern and does lack experience for a championship race like this. Therefore Golden Horde is a bit of value to me. Fifth in the Coventry last year, it followed up with a great win in the Richmond at Goodwood which may be some of the strongest form on offer when you think Threat in 2nd went and won two group 2’s following defeat and in third was Royal Dornoch who went and beat the future Guineas winner in the Royal Lodge. Even then he was 3rd in the Morny on heavy ground where Raffle Prize finished 2nd, the same position it also filled in the Cheveley Park behind Millisle. Finally Golden Horde was a close 2nd to the Money victor Earthlight, who is unbeaten in five starts for Godolphin. Bred with speed in mind, I suspect this race has been a target for a long time and with the advantage of soft ground form I am hopeful of a big run.